Inversion Thinking: Solving Backward to Live Forward

I’ve always been a fan of breaking things down to figure out how they work—sometimes that means disassembling old electronics, other times it means turning a question on its head. That’s where inversion comes in.

InversionThinking

Inversion is this strange, elegant mental model—popularized by Charlie Munger but rooted in the mathematical mind of Carl Jacobi—built around a simple idea: if you want to solve something, try solving the opposite. Don’t just ask, “How can I succeed?” Ask, “How might I fail?” Then avoid those failures.

This flipped way of thinking has helped me untangle everything from tricky team dynamics to gnarly security architecture. It’s not magic. It’s just honest thinking. And it’s surprisingly useful—in life and cybersecurity.

Everyday Life: Living by Avoiding the Dumb Stuff

In personal productivity, inversion’s like having a brutally honest friend. Don’t ask how to be productive—ask what makes you waste time. Suddenly you’re cancelling useless meetings, setting agendas, trimming the invite list. It’s not about optimizing your calendar, it’s about not being a dumbass with your calendar.

When it comes to tasks, the question isn’t “How do I get more done?” but “What distracts me?” Turns out, for me, it’s that one open browser tab I swear I’ll close later. Close it now.

Even wellness gets better when you flip the lens. Don’t chase the best workout plan—just ask “Why do I skip the gym?” Too far away, crappy equipment, bad timing. Fix those.

Same with food. I stopped keeping junk in plain sight. I eat better now, not because I have more willpower, but because I don’t trip over the Oreos every time I pass the kitchen.

Inversion also made me rethink how I spend money. Don’t ask “How do I save more?” Ask “What makes me blow cash unnecessarily?” That late-night Amazon scroll? Canceled. That gym membership I never use? Gone.

Relationships: Avoiding Trust Bombs

In relationships—especially the ones you care about—you want to build trust. But instead of obsessing over how to build it, ask “What destroys trust?” Lying. Inconsistency. Oversharing someone’s private stuff. Don’t do those things.

Want better communication? Don’t start with strategies. Just stop interrupting, assuming, or trying to fix everything when people just want to be heard.

Cybersecurity: Think Like the Adversary

Now let’s pivot to my day job: security. Inversion is baked into the best security thinking. It’s how I do architecture reviews: don’t ask, “Is this secure?” Ask, “If I were going to break this, how would I do it?”

It’s how I approach resource planning: “What failure would hurt us the most?” Not “Where should we invest?” The pain points reveal your priorities.

Even in incident response, I run pre-mortems: “Let’s assume this defense fails—what went wrong?” It’s bleak, but effective.

Want to design better user behavior? Don’t pile on password rules. Ask “What makes users work around them?” Then fix the root causes. If people hate your training, ask why. Then stop doing the thing that makes them hate it.

The Big Idea: Don’t Try to Be Smart. Just Don’t Be Stupid.

“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.” — Charlie Munger

We don’t need to be clever all the time. We need to stop sabotaging ourselves.

Inversion helps you see the hidden traps. It doesn’t promise easy answers, but it gives you better questions. And sometimes, asking the right wrong question is the smartest thing you can do.

Would love to hear how you’ve used inversion in your own life or work. Leave a note or shoot me an email. Always curious how others are flipping the script.

 

 

* AI tools were used as a research assistant for this content, but human moderation and writing are also included. The included images are AI-generated.

 

Cynefin For Everyday Life – A Use Case

 

Understanding the Cynefin framework

A brief overview of the Cynefin framework

The Cynefin framework is a problem-solving model developed to help leaders make decisions within the context of unique and complex situations. Developed by Dave Snowden in the early 2000s, this framework emphasizes the idea that every problem is different and requires a tailored approach for resolution. The framework categorizes problems into five domains – Obvious, Complicated, Complex, Chaotic, and Disorder, each requiring a different strategy for addressing them effectively.

By understanding the characteristics of each domain and applying the corresponding approach, organizations can navigate through uncertainties, make sense of complex situations, and make informed decisions. The Cynefin framework provides a structured way to approach problems, analyze data, engage stakeholders, and determine the best course of action based on the nature of the problem at hand. This adaptive and flexible framework can be applied at all levels of an organization to enhance decision-making processes and achieve successful outcomes.

The relevance of Cynefin in everyday life

The Cynefin framework is not just a tool for consultants and senior management types, but it is also highly applicable in everyday life. By understanding the different domains within the framework, individuals can approach various situations with a more informed and strategic mindset. Whether it’s making decisions at work, solving personal problems, or navigating complex relationships, the Cynefin model offers a structured approach to sense-making and problem-solving in all aspects of life. Its relevance lies in its ability to help individuals adapt to the unique characteristics of each situation and make more effective decisions based on the context at hand.

Case Study: Applying Cynefin in decision-making

Using Cynefin to Evaluate Homeowner and Flood Insurance Options

When evaluating homeowner and flood insurance options, the Cynefin framework can be a helpful tool to navigate the complexity of choosing the right policy, provider, and options.

In the Simple domain, where the relationship between cause and effect is clear, you may consider basic homeowner insurance options that cover common risks such as fire or theft. These policies are straightforward and easy to understand, making them suitable for situations where the risks are well-known and easily mitigated.

Moving into the Complicated domain, where the relationship between cause and effect is less obvious, you may need to consult with experts or insurance agents to analyze and understand the different flood insurance options available. By using a “Sense-Analyze-Respond” approach, you can gather information, compare policies, and make an informed decision based on your specific needs and circumstances.

In the Complex domain, where the relationship between cause and effect is unpredictable, you may need to consider more comprehensive homeowner and flood insurance options that offer additional coverage for unforeseen events. This may involve looking at policies that include coverage for natural disasters, water damage, and other potential risks that are not easily mitigated.

Finally, in the Chaotic domain, where the situation is unstable and rapidly changing, you may need to act quickly to protect your home and assets in the event of a flood or other disaster. This could involve seeking immediate assistance from emergency services, contacting your insurance provider, and documenting any damage for future claims.

By applying the Cynefin framework to evaluate homeowner and flood insurance options, you can make a more informed decision that aligns with your unique circumstances and needs. This approach allows you to assess the complexity of the situation, consider different factors, and choose the best insurance options to protect your home and assets in the face of uncertainty.

Summary

The Cynefin framework is a valuable tool to navigate the complexity of choosing homeowner and flood insurance options. In the Simple domain, basic homeowner insurance options provide coverage for common risks. In the Complicated domain, consulting experts or insurance agents can help analyze and understand different flood insurance options. In the Complex domain, more comprehensive policies that provide coverage for unforeseen events may be necessary. In the Chaotic domain, acting quickly to protect your home and assets is key. By applying the Cynefin framework, you can make an informed decision that aligns with your unique circumstances and needs, ensuring that you have the best insurance options to protect your home and assets in the face of uncertainty.

Personal Use Example

Here’s a textual representation of the Cynefin model I used for evaluating homeowner and flood insurance options recently:

Cynefin Framework for Insurance Evaluation:

  1. Clear
    • Comparing premiums
    • Evaluating deductibles
    • Assessing policy limits
    • Simple choices with clear outcomes
  2. Complicated
    • Analyzing policy exclusions
    • Understanding endorsements
    • Reviewing specific coverage limits
    • Requires expert advice for thorough evaluation
  3. Complex
    • Assessing future flood risks
    • Considering climate change impacts
    • Evaluating long-term sustainability of insurance providers
    • Involves unpredictable factors and requires adaptive strategies
  4. Chaotic
    • Handling emergency responses
    • Managing immediate claims post-disaster
    • Making urgent decisions without clear information
    • Focuses on immediate action and resolution
  5. Disorder (Central Area)
    • Situations where it’s unclear which quadrant applies
    • Initial assessment phase before categorizing into appropriate quadrants

This framework helped me to categorize and address various aspects of insurance evaluation based on the nature and complexity of the factors involved.